People who are homeless in Toronto experience injury and death from cold, even in moderate winter weather: An evidence-based brief

Published Dec. 20, 2019

Summary

In Toronto, the Medical Officer of Health issues an extreme cold weather alert when temperatures fall below -15C. Recently, researchers led by St. Michael’s Hospital reviewed coroner’s records and emergency department charts from five downtown hospitals to explore the relationship between weather conditions and hypothermia among adults experiencing homelessness between 2004-2015. They found that while extreme cold temperatures put people at higher risk of hypothermia, most cases of injury and death due to cold occur in moderate winter weather.

This data suggests that the current state of the housing, shelter, respite, and warming centre systems in Toronto leaves many people at risk of injury and death due to cold. For example, there is currently only one warming centre open during extreme cold weather alerts (Metro Hall, with a capacity for 50 people). It is critically important to have a cold weather response strategy that includes low-barrier access to shelter beds and multiple warming centres throughout the winter months, not just on extremely cold days and nights.

Background

In Toronto, extreme cold weather alerts trigger additional services for people experiencing homelessness. One dedicated warming centre opens at Metro Hall, and there are additional overnight street outreach staff. Community agencies are also asked to relax service restrictions and let more people inside.

According to the City’s Shelter Census, most emergency shelters, respite centres and volunteer Out of the Cold programs are at or exceeding capacity. Even when the Metro Hall warming centre is open during extreme cold weather alerts, many people are still left outside. For example, in a recent interview, an outreach worker described how his client was turned away from Metro Hall, leaving her with no option but to sleep on the street. This suggests that more warming centres are needed, and not just during extreme cold weather alerts, but all winter long.

About the Research

Researchers reviewed coroner’s records, and charts from emergency departments at St. Michael’s Hospital, Mount Sinai Hospital, Toronto General Hospital, Toronto Western Hospital, and St. Joseph’s Health Centre to explore the relationship between weather conditions and hypothermia among adults experiencing homelessness in Toronto between 2004 – 2015.

Findings

  • Seventy-two percent of hypothermia cases in people experiencing homelessness occur when temperatures are warmer than -15C, the threshold for an extreme cold weather alert.
  • Rain, snow and damp amplify the effects of cold temperatures, leading to more cases of hypothermia.
  • People who are homeless in Toronto are much more likely to experience hypothermia than the general population. People who are homeless account for 25% of all hypothermic injuries and 20% of hypothermic deaths.
  • While moderate winter weather puts people experiencing homelessness at increased risk of injury and death, extreme cold weather further heightens this risk.

Implications

The current state of the housing, shelter, respite and warming centre systems in Toronto leaves many people at risk of injury and death.

It is critically important to have a cold weather response strategy that includes low-barrier access to shelter beds and multiple warming centres throughout the winter months, not just on extremely cold days and nights.

For more information about this evidence brief, please contact MAP Director Dr. Stephen Hwang: Stephen.Hwang@unityhealth.to

References

Nearly all national essential medicines lists include withdrawn medicines

New research led by St. Michael’s Hospital of Unity Health Toronto analyzed the essential medicines lists of 137 countries and found all but one list included one or more medicines that have either been withdrawn by a regulator or not approved for marketing due to adverse effects in other countries. Somalia listed 83 medicines, and did not include a withdrawn medicine on its essential medicines list.

The study, published in PLOS ONE, identified 97 medicines that were withdrawn from markets between 1953 and 2014 but still included on a national essential medicines list. Eleven of these medicines were withdrawn worldwide because of their associations with harm, but were still included on up to 39 lists.

AI in health care: Improving outcomes or threatening equity?

Scientists warn that the unexamined use of artificial intelligence (AI) in health care could result in worse health outcomes for marginalized people…

“AI is already here, especially in radiology and even cancer treatment,” says Dr. Andrew Pinto, a family physician and a scientist at MAP Centre for Urban Health Solutions at St. Michael’s. “The problem is we don’t know if it’s creating bias because we don’t often have data on things like race, gender, identity, education and income,” he explains. “We may inadvertently be replicating biases.”

A program trained on lung scans may seem neutral, but if the training data sets only include images from patients from one sex or racial group, it may miss health conditions in diverse populations. Experts have raised similar concerns about AI programs that diagnose skin cancer, given that decades of clinical research that might be used to train the programs focused mostly on people with light skin.

Over the next year, Pinto will survey health providers and patients, asking providers about the problems they want AI to solve, and asking patients questions like, “How do you feel about the computer creating a risk score for you?” One of Pinto’s concerns with algorithm-based care is that doctors will spend less time listening to patients, trying to understand the complex social determinants that factor into health, and more time looking at screens.